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Championship · Matchday 35Tuesday 2 March · 19:45 · Turf Moor
Burnley22nd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
West Bromwich Albion5th place
BUR 37%X 29%WBA 34%

Prediction

  • If Burnley score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If West Bromwich Albion score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.2
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Burnley win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.72X29%3.45234%2.92
Double chance
1X66%1.52X263%1.581271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.27Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes50%1.98BTTS no50%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Burnley · Columns: West Bromwich Albion1-1 probability 13.9%

Form

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Head to head

West Bromwich Albion – Burnley23 August 20263-1
Burnley – West Bromwich Albion11 March 20251-1
West Bromwich Albion – Burnley7 November 20240-0
Burnley – West Bromwich Albion20 January 20232-1
West Bromwich Albion – Burnley2 September 20221-1