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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 35Tuesday 2 March · 19:45 · Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol City14th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Birmingham City6th place
BRC 34%X 28%BIR 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Birmingham City 2.4 points per game, Bristol City 1.0.
  • Birmingham City lead by 77 rating points.
  • If Bristol City score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If Birmingham City score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.545%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Birmingham City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.98X28%3.51238%2.63
Double chance
1X62%1.61X266%1.501272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.545%2.25Under 2.555%1.80BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.03

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bristol City · Columns: Birmingham City1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Birmingham City – Bristol City22 August 20262-2
Birmingham City – Bristol City25 April 20262-1
Bristol City – Birmingham City25 October 20251-0
Birmingham City – Bristol City29 December 20230-0
Bristol City – Birmingham City19 August 20230-2
Bristol City – Birmingham City14 January 20234-2