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Championship · Matchday 35Tuesday 2 March · 19:45 · The Valley
Charlton Athletic20th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
West Ham8th place
CHA 25%X 25%WHU 51%

Prediction

Key factors
  • West Ham lead by 131 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Ham 0.9, Charlton Athletic -0.6.
  • Last 5 games: West Ham 1.4 points per game, Charlton Athletic 0.4.
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 52% of the time
  • If West Ham score first, they win 75% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.9
Over 2.560%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a West Ham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
125%4.06X25%4.04251%1.98
Double chance
1X49%2.02X275%1.331275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.560%1.67Under 2.540%2.49BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.55

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Charlton Athletic · Columns: West Ham1-1 probability 11.2%

Form

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Head to head

West Ham – Charlton Athletic22 August 20261-2