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Championship · Matchday 35Tuesday 2 March · 19:45 · Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Blackburn Rovers13th place
MID 69%X 20%BLB 11%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Middlesbrough lead by 137 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Middlesbrough 1.2, Blackburn Rovers -0.9.
  • Last 5 games: Middlesbrough 2.6 points per game, Blackburn Rovers 1.8.
  • If Middlesbrough score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 37% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.7
Over 2.553%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
169%1.44X20%5.08211%9.22
Double chance
1X89%1.12X231%3.281280%1.24
Goals
Over 2.553%1.88Under 2.547%2.14BTTS yes45%2.22BTTS no55%1.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Middlesbrough · Columns: Blackburn Rovers2-0 probability 13.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Blackburn Rovers – Middlesbrough22 August 20262-1
Blackburn Rovers – Middlesbrough21 March 20260-0
Middlesbrough – Blackburn Rovers26 December 20250-0
Blackburn Rovers – Middlesbrough4 April 20250-2
Middlesbrough – Blackburn Rovers27 November 20240-1
Middlesbrough – Blackburn Rovers16 March 20240-0