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Championship · Matchday 35Wednesday 3 March · 19:45 · Fratton Park
Portsmouth11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Lincoln City16th place
POR 53%X 26%LIN 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Portsmouth 2.2 points per game, Lincoln City 0.8.
  • Portsmouth lead by 83 rating points.
  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Lincoln City score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.0
Over 2.548%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Portsmouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.89X26%3.78221%4.84
Double chance
1X79%1.26X247%2.121274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.548%2.06Under 2.552%1.94BTTS yes51%1.98BTTS no49%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Portsmouth · Columns: Lincoln City1-1 probability 12.4%

Form

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Head to head

Lincoln City – Portsmouth22 August 20261-3