Bolton Wanderers vs West Bromwich Albion prediction

Championship · Matchday 17Wednesday 25 November · 19:45 · Toughsheet Community Stadium

Bolton Wanderers19th place

Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence

West Bromwich Albion5th place

BOL 25%X 26%WBA 49%

Prediction

Key factors

West Bromwich Albion lead by 120 rating points.
Last 5 games: West Bromwich Albion 2.0 points per game, Bolton Wanderers 0.8.
xG difference over the last 10: West Bromwich Albion 0.2, Bolton Wanderers -0.7.

If Bolton Wanderers score first, they win 55% of the time
If West Bromwich Albion score first, they win 75% of the time
Chance of a goalless draw 7%

Expected goals1.1 – 1.6

Over 2.552%

Both teams score55%

Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a West Bromwich Albion win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds

Result

125%3.97X26%3.83249%2.05

Double chance

1X51%1.95X275%1.341274%1.35

Goals

Over 2.552%1.94Under 2.548%2.07BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.21

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)

012345