TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 17Tuesday 24 November · 19:45 · Carrow Road
Norwich City15th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
QPR9th place
NOR 43%X 28%QPR 29%

Prediction

  • If Norwich City score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If QPR score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.3
Over 2.557%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Norwich City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.32X28%3.63229%3.41
Double chance
1X71%1.42X257%1.761272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.557%1.77Under 2.543%2.30BTTS yes60%1.67BTTS no40%2.48

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Norwich City · Columns: QPR1-1 probability 12.0%
QPRDWLWL

Head to head

QPR – Norwich City1 January 20261-2
Norwich City – QPR29 November 20253-1
Norwich City – QPR29 December 20241-1
QPR – Norwich City7 December 20243-0
QPR – Norwich City10 February 20242-2
Norwich City – QPR25 November 20231-0