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Championship · Matchday 17Tuesday 24 November · 19:45 · Fratton Park
Portsmouth11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
West Ham8th place
POR 35%X 26%WHU 39%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Ham 0.9, Portsmouth 0.1.
  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If West Ham score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.7
Over 2.563%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a West Ham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.89X26%3.78239%2.57
Double chance
1X61%1.64X265%1.531274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.563%1.60Under 2.538%2.67BTTS yes65%1.54BTTS no35%2.84

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Portsmouth · Columns: West Ham1-1 probability 11.1%

Form

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