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Championship · Matchday 17Tuesday 24 November · 19:45 · Bramall Lane
Sheffield United10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Southampton2nd place
SHU 27%X 26%SOU 47%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Southampton lead by 150 rating points.
  • Southampton take 1.9 points per game away.
  • If Sheffield United score first, they win 56% of the time
  • If Southampton score first, they win 73% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.7
Over 2.554%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Southampton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
127%3.77X26%3.78247%2.13
Double chance
1X53%1.89X273%1.361274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.554%1.84Under 2.546%2.19BTTS yes57%1.75BTTS no43%2.34

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sheffield United · Columns: Southampton1-1 probability 12.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Southampton – Sheffield United21 January 20261-0
Sheffield United – Southampton30 September 20251-2