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Championship · Matchday 17Tuesday 24 November · 19:45 · Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff City17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Preston North End24th place
CAR 56%X 25%PNE 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Cardiff City lead by 76 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Cardiff City 1.4 points per game, Preston North End 0.2.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Cardiff City 0.2, Preston North End -0.4.
  • If Cardiff City score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 48% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.0
Over 2.552%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Cardiff City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.79X25%4.07219%5.13
Double chance
1X81%1.24X244%2.271275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.552%1.91Under 2.548%2.10BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.12

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cardiff City · Columns: Preston North End1-1 probability 11.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Preston North End – Cardiff City8 April 20252-2
Cardiff City – Preston North End11 December 20240-2
Cardiff City – Preston North End10 February 20240-2
Preston North End – Cardiff City25 November 20231-2
Preston North End – Cardiff City11 March 20232-0
Cardiff City – Preston North End27 August 20220-0