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Championship · Matchday 42Saturday 10 April · 15:00 · Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol City14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Burnley22nd place
BRC 44%X 28%BUR 29%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bristol City 0.6, Burnley -0.2.
  • If Bristol City score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Burnley score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.547%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Bristol City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.30X28%3.60229%3.49
Double chance
1X71%1.40X256%1.771272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.547%2.12Under 2.553%1.89BTTS yes52%1.91BTTS no48%2.10

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bristol City · Columns: Burnley1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Burnley – Bristol City5 September 20261-2
Burnley – Bristol City29 March 20251-0
Bristol City – Burnley23 November 20240-1
Bristol City – Burnley29 April 20231-2
Burnley – Bristol City17 September 20222-1