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Championship · Matchday 42Saturday 10 April · 15:00 · Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff City17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Portsmouth11th place
CAR 38%X 28%POR 34%

Prediction

  • If Cardiff City score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.3
Over 2.549%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Cardiff City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.60X28%3.58234%2.97
Double chance
1X66%1.51X262%1.621272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.549%2.04Under 2.551%1.96BTTS yes54%1.84BTTS no46%2.19

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cardiff City · Columns: Portsmouth1-1 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Portsmouth – Cardiff City5 September 20262-0
Portsmouth – Cardiff City11 February 20252-1
Cardiff City – Portsmouth22 October 20242-0