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Championship · Matchday 42Saturday 10 April · 15:00 · Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
QPR9th place
MID 60%X 23%QPR 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Middlesbrough lead by 112 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Middlesbrough 2.6 points per game, QPR 1.4.
  • Middlesbrough take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Middlesbrough score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If QPR score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.0
Over 2.558%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Middlesbrough win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
160%1.67X23%4.26217%6.03
Double chance
1X83%1.20X240%2.501277%1.31
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.39BTTS yes56%1.80BTTS no44%2.25

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Middlesbrough · Columns: QPR1-1 probability 10.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

QPR – Middlesbrough5 September 20260-1
QPR – Middlesbrough8 March 20260-4
Middlesbrough – QPR13 December 20253-1
Middlesbrough – QPR11 March 20252-1
QPR – Middlesbrough5 November 20241-4
QPR – Middlesbrough9 March 20240-2