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Championship · Matchday 42Saturday 10 April · 15:00 · The Valley
Charlton Athletic20th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
Stoke City7th place
CHA 35%X 30%STK 36%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Stoke City 2.0 points per game, Charlton Athletic 0.4.
  • Stoke City lead by 89 rating points.
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Stoke City score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.1
Over 2.539%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Stoke City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.90X30%3.35236%2.81
Double chance
1X64%1.55X265%1.531270%1.43
Goals
Over 2.539%2.54Under 2.561%1.65BTTS yes47%2.14BTTS no53%1.88

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Charlton Athletic · Columns: Stoke City1-1 probability 14.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Stoke City – Charlton Athletic5 September 20264-0
Charlton Athletic – Stoke City11 February 20261-0
Stoke City – Charlton Athletic25 November 20253-0