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Championship · Matchday 42Saturday 10 April · 15:00 · St. Mary's Stadium
Southampton2nd place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Lincoln City16th place
SOU 72%X 18%LIN 10%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Southampton lead by 237 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Southampton 2.6 points per game, Lincoln City 0.8.
  • Southampton take 2.4 points per game at home.
  • If Southampton score first, they win 88% of the time
  • If Lincoln City score first, they win 32% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.5 – 0.9
Over 2.566%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
172%1.39X18%5.53210%10.26
Double chance
1X90%1.11X228%3.591282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.566%1.51Under 2.534%2.95BTTS yes54%1.84BTTS no46%2.19

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Southampton · Columns: Lincoln City2-0 probability 10.6%

Form

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Head to head

Lincoln City – Southampton5 September 20261-1