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Championship · Matchday 42Saturday 10 April · 15:00 · Vicarage Road
Watford21st place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Medium confidence
West Bromwich Albion5th place
WAT 26%X 28%WBA 46%

Prediction

Key factors
  • West Bromwich Albion lead by 155 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: West Bromwich Albion 2.0 points per game, Watford 0.6.
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Bromwich Albion 0.2, Watford -0.9.
  • If Watford score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If West Bromwich Albion score first, they win 75% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.4
Over 2.543%
Both teams score48%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a West Bromwich Albion win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
126%3.86X28%3.58246%2.17
Double chance
1X54%1.86X274%1.351272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.543%2.33Under 2.557%1.75BTTS yes48%2.07BTTS no52%1.93

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Watford · Columns: West Bromwich Albion1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

West Bromwich Albion – Watford5 September 20261-0
West Bromwich Albion – Watford21 April 20263-0
Watford – West Bromwich Albion22 October 20252-1
West Bromwich Albion – Watford12 April 20252-1
Watford – West Bromwich Albion15 December 20242-1
West Bromwich Albion – Watford1 April 20242-2