TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 16Sunday 22 November · 12:00 · Turf Moor
Burnley22nd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Blackburn Rovers13th place
BUR 52%X 27%BLB 21%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Burnley -0.2, Blackburn Rovers -0.9.
  • If Burnley score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.546%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Burnley win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
152%1.91X27%3.75221%4.74
Double chance
1X79%1.27X248%2.091273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.546%2.18Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Burnley · Columns: Blackburn Rovers1-1 probability 12.7%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Blackburn Rovers – Burnley4 January 20250-1
Burnley – Blackburn Rovers31 August 20241-1
Blackburn Rovers – Burnley25 April 20230-1
Burnley – Blackburn Rovers13 November 20223-0