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Championship · Matchday 16Saturday 21 November · 15:00 · Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Bristol City14th place
MID 65%X 22%BRC 13%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Middlesbrough lead by 143 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Middlesbrough 2.6 points per game, Bristol City 1.0.
  • Middlesbrough take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Middlesbrough score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Bristol City score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.8
Over 2.554%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.53X22%4.64213%7.59
Double chance
1X87%1.15X235%2.881278%1.27
Goals
Over 2.554%1.86Under 2.546%2.16BTTS yes49%2.06BTTS no51%1.94

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Middlesbrough · Columns: Bristol City2-0 probability 12.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Middlesbrough – Bristol City14 March 20261-1
Bristol City – Middlesbrough20 December 20252-0
Bristol City – Middlesbrough21 February 20252-1
Middlesbrough – Bristol City19 October 20240-2
Middlesbrough – Bristol City10 February 20241-2
Bristol City – Middlesbrough25 November 20233-2