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Championship · Matchday 16Saturday 21 November · 12:30 · Carrow Road
Norwich City15th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Cardiff City17th place
NOR 54%X 25%CAR 22%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Norwich City lead by 93 rating points.
  • If Norwich City score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Cardiff City score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.2
Over 2.560%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Norwich City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
154%1.86X25%4.03222%4.65
Double chance
1X78%1.27X246%2.161275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.560%1.67Under 2.540%2.49BTTS yes60%1.68BTTS no40%2.48

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Norwich City · Columns: Cardiff City1-1 probability 10.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Norwich City – Cardiff City3 May 20254-2
Cardiff City – Norwich City2 November 20242-1
Norwich City – Cardiff City17 February 20244-1
Cardiff City – Norwich City11 November 20232-3
Norwich City – Cardiff City25 February 20232-0
Cardiff City – Norwich City30 July 20221-0