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Championship · Matchday 16Saturday 21 November · 12:30 · The Den
Millwall12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
QPR9th place
MIL 48%X 27%QPR 25%

Prediction

  • If Millwall score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If QPR score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.1
Over 2.551%
Both teams score54%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Millwall win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
148%2.10X27%3.68225%3.97
Double chance
1X75%1.34X252%1.911273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.551%1.98Under 2.549%2.02BTTS yes54%1.85BTTS no46%2.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Millwall · Columns: QPR1-1 probability 12.7%

Form

Compare →
QPRDWLWL

Head to head

Millwall – QPR18 April 20262-0
QPR – Millwall18 October 20251-2
Millwall – QPR1 February 20252-1
QPR – Millwall21 September 20241-1
QPR – Millwall20 January 20242-0
Millwall – QPR26 December 20232-0