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Championship · Matchday 31Saturday 13 February · 15:00 · Turf Moor
Burnley22nd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Swansea City3rd place
BUR 38%X 28%SWA 33%

Prediction

  • If Burnley score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Swansea City score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.547%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Burnley win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.61X28%3.53233%3.00
Double chance
1X67%1.50X262%1.621272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.547%2.12Under 2.553%1.90BTTS yes53%1.89BTTS no47%2.13

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Burnley · Columns: Swansea City1-1 probability 13.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Swansea City – Burnley12 September 20263-1
Swansea City – Burnley15 March 20250-2
Burnley – Swansea City10 November 20241-0
Swansea City – Burnley2 January 20231-2
Burnley – Swansea City15 October 20224-0