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Championship · Matchday 31Saturday 13 February · 15:00 · Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff City17th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Bolton Wanderers19th place
CAR 57%X 23%BOL 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Cardiff City 0.2, Bolton Wanderers -0.7.
  • If Cardiff City score first, they win 79% of the time
  • If Bolton Wanderers score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals2.0 – 1.1
Over 2.561%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Cardiff City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.76X23%4.30220%4.99
Double chance
1X80%1.25X243%2.311277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.561%1.63Under 2.539%2.58BTTS yes60%1.67BTTS no40%2.49

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cardiff City · Columns: Bolton Wanderers1-1 probability 10.4%

Form

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Head to head

Bolton Wanderers – Cardiff City12 September 20261-0