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Championship · Matchday 31Saturday 13 February · 15:00 · Fratton Park
Portsmouth11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Charlton Athletic20th place
POR 54%X 27%CHA 19%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Portsmouth lead by 110 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Portsmouth 2.2 points per game, Charlton Athletic 0.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Portsmouth 0.1, Charlton Athletic -0.6.
  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.8
Over 2.541%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
154%1.85X27%3.70219%5.31
Double chance
1X81%1.23X246%2.181273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.541%2.45Under 2.559%1.69BTTS yes44%2.30BTTS no56%1.77

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Portsmouth · Columns: Charlton Athletic1-0 probability 14.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Charlton Athletic – Portsmouth12 September 20260-0
Charlton Athletic – Portsmouth17 February 20261-3
Portsmouth – Charlton Athletic29 December 20252-1