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Championship · Matchday 31Saturday 13 February · 15:00 · The Den
Millwall12th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Blackburn Rovers13th place
MIL 59%X 24%BLB 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Millwall 0.5, Blackburn Rovers -0.9.
  • If Millwall score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.546%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
159%1.70X24%4.10217%5.95
Double chance
1X83%1.20X241%2.431276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.546%2.16Under 2.554%1.86BTTS yes46%2.17BTTS no54%1.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Millwall · Columns: Blackburn Rovers1-0 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Blackburn Rovers – Millwall12 September 20263-1
Millwall – Blackburn Rovers14 March 20261-2
Blackburn Rovers – Millwall20 December 20252-0
Blackburn Rovers – Millwall18 April 20254-1
Millwall – Blackburn Rovers21 December 20241-0
Blackburn Rovers – Millwall5 March 20241-1