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Championship · Matchday 41Tuesday 6 April · 19:45 · Turf Moor
Burnley22nd place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Wrexham18th place
BUR 45%X 28%WRE 27%

Prediction

  • If Burnley score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If Wrexham score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.2
Over 2.551%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Burnley win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
145%2.22X28%3.59227%3.70
Double chance
1X73%1.37X255%1.821272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.551%1.96Under 2.549%2.04BTTS yes55%1.82BTTS no45%2.22

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Burnley · Columns: Wrexham1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

Compare →
BurnleyWDLLD
WrexhamDLWLL

Head to head

Wrexham – Burnley8 September 20261-1