TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 41Wednesday 7 April · 19:45 · Deepdale
Preston North End24th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Watford21st place
PNE 41%X 28%WAT 30%

Prediction

  • If Preston North End score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Watford score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.1
Over 2.546%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Preston North End win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.42X28%3.52230%3.31
Double chance
1X70%1.43X259%1.711272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.546%2.17Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes52%1.93BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Preston North End · Columns: Watford1-1 probability 13.6%

Head to head

Watford – Preston North End8 September 20262-1
Preston North End – Watford14 February 20262-2
Watford – Preston North End25 November 20251-1
Watford – Preston North End21 January 20251-2
Preston North End – Watford2 October 20243-0
Watford – Preston North End6 April 20240-0