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Championship · Matchday 41Tuesday 6 April · 19:45 · Fratton Park
Portsmouth11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Wolverhampton4th place
POR 37%X 29%WOL 34%

Prediction

  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Wolverhampton score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.547%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Portsmouth win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.70X29%3.45234%2.94
Double chance
1X66%1.52X263%1.591271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.547%2.13Under 2.553%1.88BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.12

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Portsmouth · Columns: Wolverhampton1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

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Head to head

Wolverhampton – Portsmouth20 October 20261-1