TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 41Tuesday 6 April · 19:45 · bet365 Stadium
Stoke City7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Cardiff City17th place
STK 44%X 28%CAR 28%

Prediction

  • If Stoke City score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Cardiff City score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.1
Over 2.549%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Stoke City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.26X28%3.61228%3.56
Double chance
1X72%1.39X256%1.791272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.549%2.06Under 2.551%1.95BTTS yes53%1.87BTTS no47%2.14

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stoke City · Columns: Cardiff City1-1 probability 13.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Cardiff City – Stoke City8 September 20261-1
Cardiff City – Stoke City12 April 20250-1
Stoke City – Cardiff City14 December 20242-2
Cardiff City – Stoke City24 February 20242-1
Stoke City – Cardiff City4 November 20230-0
Cardiff City – Stoke City22 April 20231-1