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Championship · Matchday 41Tuesday 6 April · 19:45 · London Stadium
West Ham8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Bolton Wanderers19th place
WHU 69%X 18%BOL 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • West Ham lead by 106 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Ham 0.9, Bolton Wanderers -0.7.
  • If West Ham score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Bolton Wanderers score first, they win 33% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals3.0 – 1.3
Over 2.580%
Both teams score70%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
169%1.44X18%5.43212%8.18
Double chance
1X88%1.14X231%3.271282%1.23
Goals
Over 2.580%1.25Under 2.520%4.95BTTS yes70%1.44BTTS no30%3.29

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: West Ham · Columns: Bolton Wanderers2-1 probability 8.1%

Form

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Head to head

Bolton Wanderers – West Ham8 September 20262-3