TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 41Tuesday 6 April · 19:45 · MATRADE Loftus Road
QPR9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Charlton Athletic20th place
QPR 59%X 25%CHA 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • QPR lead by 116 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: QPR 0.5, Charlton Athletic -0.6.
  • Last 5 games: QPR 1.4 points per game, Charlton Athletic 0.4.
  • If QPR score first, they win 83% of the time
  • If Charlton Athletic score first, they win 47% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.8
Over 2.547%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
159%1.69X25%4.08216%6.18
Double chance
1X84%1.19X241%2.461276%1.32
Goals
Over 2.547%2.14Under 2.553%1.87BTTS yes46%2.17BTTS no54%1.85

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: QPR · Columns: Charlton Athletic1-0 probability 13.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Charlton Athletic – QPR9 September 20260-0
Charlton Athletic – QPR6 February 20260-0
QPR – Charlton Athletic30 August 20253-1