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Eredivisie · Matchday 12Sunday 8 November · 15:45 · Kooi Stadion
Cambuur9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-3High confidence
PSV Eindhoven3rd place
CAM 11%X 16%PSV 73%

What's at stake

CambuurRelegation0%2%4%
PSV EindhovenTitle43%32%27%

Prediction

Key factors
  • PSV Eindhoven lead by 310 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: PSV Eindhoven 1.1, Cambuur -0.1.
  • If Cambuur score first, they win 28% of the time
  • If PSV Eindhoven score first, they win 87% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 1%
Expected goals1.4 – 3.4
Over 2.586%
Both teams score74%
Likeliest score1-3
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
111%9.30X16%6.32273%1.36
Double chance
1X27%3.76X289%1.121284%1.19
Goals
Over 2.586%1.16Under 2.514%7.07BTTS yes74%1.36BTTS no26%3.81

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Cambuur · Columns: PSV Eindhoven1-3 probability 7.5%

Form

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Head to head

PSV Eindhoven – Cambuur12 March 20235-2
Cambuur – PSV Eindhoven1 October 20223-0
Cambuur – PSV Eindhoven23 April 20221-2
PSV Eindhoven – Cambuur21 August 20214-1