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Eredivisie · Matchday 12Saturday 7 November · 20:00 · Van Donge and De Roo Stadion
Excelsior15th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Go Ahead Eagles10th place
EXC 33%X 26%GAE 41%

What's at stake

ExcelsiorRelegation6%14%15%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Go Ahead Eagles 0.0, Excelsior -1.1.
  • Last 5 games: Go Ahead Eagles 1.0 points per game, Excelsior 0.2.
  • If Excelsior score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Go Ahead Eagles score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.8
Over 2.565%
Both teams score67%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Go Ahead Eagles win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.01X26%3.82241%2.46
Double chance
1X59%1.68X267%1.501274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.565%1.53Under 2.535%2.88BTTS yes67%1.50BTTS no33%3.01

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Excelsior · Columns: Go Ahead Eagles1-1 probability 10.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Excelsior – Go Ahead Eagles1 March 20260-1
Go Ahead Eagles – Excelsior26 October 20252-0
Go Ahead Eagles – Excelsior30 March 20243-0
Excelsior – Go Ahead Eagles16 December 20231-1
Excelsior – Go Ahead Eagles14 April 20232-1
Go Ahead Eagles – Excelsior29 October 20223-1