TR
Picks
Mon 19:45ATA1-0PAR59%Mon 19:45LOR1-0BRE44%Mon 20:00DEP1-0OSA43%Mon 20:00NEW1-0EVE42%Mon 20:15BEN2-0ALV77%Mon 20:15GIL1-0VSC44%Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%
Eredivisie · Matchday 12Sunday 8 November · 13:30 · De Grolsch Veste
Twente4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Ajax2nd place
TWE 51%X 25%AJA 23%

What's at stake

TwenteTop 381%67%59%
AjaxTop 359%45%34%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Twente 1.6, Ajax 0.9.
  • Twente take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Twente score first, they win 76% of the time
  • If Ajax score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.1
Over 2.556%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Twente win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Twente · Columns: Ajax1-1 probability 11.7%

Form

Compare →
TwenteWDLWW
AjaxDDWWW

Head to head

Ajax – Twente4 April 20261-2
Twente – Ajax26 October 20252-3
Ajax – Twente18 May 20252-0
Twente – Ajax10 November 20242-2
Ajax – Twente14 April 20242-1
Twente – Ajax17 September 20233-1