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Eredivisie · Matchday 12Saturday 7 November · 15:30 · Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Fortuna Sittard6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Telstar16th place
FOR 39%X 27%TEL 34%

What's at stake

TelstarRelegation5%6%12%

What does the market say?

Fortuna SittardDrawTelstarRinvalo39%27%34%
Market47%27%27%

✓ Agree · both back Fortuna Sittard

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Fortuna Sittard 1.8 points per game, Telstar 0.8.
  • The market also backs the home side (47%).
  • If Fortuna Sittard score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Telstar score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.4
Over 2.557%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Fortuna Sittard win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.55X27%3.70234%2.96
Double chance
1X66%1.51X261%1.651273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Market 58%Under 2.543%2.32Market 42%BTTS yes60%1.65Market 61%BTTS no40%2.53Market 39%

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fortuna Sittard · Columns: Telstar1-1 probability 12.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Fortuna Sittard – Telstar8 March 20261-4
Telstar – Fortuna Sittard14 September 20251-3