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Eredivisie · Matchday 12Sunday 8 November · 11:15 · Abe Lenstra Stadion
Heerenveen7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Feyenoord1st place
HEE 20%X 23%FEY 57%

What's at stake

FeyenoordTitle42%32%25%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Feyenoord lead by 129 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Feyenoord 1.6, Heerenveen 0.2.
  • Feyenoord take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Heerenveen score first, they win 47% of the time
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 79% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.1 – 2.0
Over 2.561%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Feyenoord win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
120%4.93X23%4.35257%1.76
Double chance
1X43%2.31X280%1.251277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.561%1.65Under 2.539%2.54BTTS yes59%1.68BTTS no41%2.46

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Heerenveen · Columns: Feyenoord1-1 probability 10.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Heerenveen – Feyenoord11 January 20262-2
Feyenoord – Heerenveen13 September 20251-0
Heerenveen – Feyenoord18 May 20252-0
Feyenoord – Heerenveen23 November 20243-0
Heerenveen – Feyenoord17 March 20242-3
Feyenoord – Heerenveen16 September 20236-1