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Eredivisie · Matchday 29Sunday 11 April · 16:00 · Kooi Stadion
Cambuur9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Fortuna Sittard6th place
CAM 41%X 27%FOR 32%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Cambuur -0.1, Fortuna Sittard -1.3.
  • If Cambuur score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Fortuna Sittard score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.6
Over 2.565%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Cambuur win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.43X27%3.71232%3.13
Double chance
1X68%1.47X259%1.701273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.565%1.54Under 2.535%2.84BTTS yes66%1.51BTTS no34%2.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cambuur · Columns: Fortuna Sittard1-1 probability 10.5%

Form

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Head to head

Fortuna Sittard – Cambuur15 August 20263-1
Cambuur – Fortuna Sittard29 January 20231-2
Fortuna Sittard – Cambuur20 August 20221-4
Cambuur – Fortuna Sittard26 February 20222-1
Fortuna Sittard – Cambuur16 October 20211-0