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Eredivisie · Matchday 29Sunday 11 April · 16:00 · MAC³PARK Stadion
PEC Zwolle14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
PSV Eindhoven3rd place
PEC 11%X 16%PSV 73%

Prediction

Key factors
  • PSV Eindhoven lead by 302 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: PSV Eindhoven 1.1, PEC Zwolle -0.7.
  • If PEC Zwolle score first, they win 30% of the time
  • If PSV Eindhoven score first, they win 87% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals1.2 – 3.0
Over 2.579%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
111%9.15X16%6.34273%1.36
Double chance
1X27%3.75X289%1.121284%1.19
Goals
Over 2.579%1.27Under 2.521%4.67BTTS yes66%1.51BTTS no34%2.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: PEC Zwolle · Columns: PSV Eindhoven1-2 probability 8.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

PSV Eindhoven – PEC Zwolle23 April 20266-1
PEC Zwolle – PSV Eindhoven4 October 20250-4
PEC Zwolle – PSV Eindhoven18 January 20253-1
PSV Eindhoven – PEC Zwolle26 October 20246-0
PEC Zwolle – PSV Eindhoven24 February 20241-7
PSV Eindhoven – PEC Zwolle12 November 20234-0