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Eredivisie · Matchday 29Sunday 11 April · 16:00 · 711 Stadion
Telstar16th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Twente4th place
TEL 14%X 20%TWE 66%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Twente lead by 200 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Twente 1.6, Telstar -0.7.
  • Last 5 games: Twente 2.0 points per game, Telstar 0.8.
  • If Telstar score first, they win 39% of the time
  • If Twente score first, they win 84% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.0 – 2.2
Over 2.562%
Both teams score56%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
114%7.00X20%5.04266%1.52
Double chance
1X34%2.93X286%1.171280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.562%1.62Under 2.538%2.62BTTS yes56%1.80BTTS no44%2.25

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Telstar · Columns: Twente0-2 probability 10.3%

Form

Compare →
TelstarLDLLW
TwenteWDLWW

Head to head

Twente – Telstar9 September 20261-0
Telstar – Twente15 February 20261-1
Twente – Telstar7 November 20250-0