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Eredivisie · Matchday 29Sunday 11 April · 16:00 · Goffertstadion
NEC Nijmegen13th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Heerenveen7th place
NEC 43%X 27%HEE 31%

Prediction

  • If NEC Nijmegen score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If Heerenveen score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.4
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a NEC Nijmegen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
143%2.33X27%3.77231%3.27
Double chance
1X69%1.44X257%1.751274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes61%1.64BTTS no39%2.57

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: NEC Nijmegen · Columns: Heerenveen1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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Head to head

Heerenveen – NEC Nijmegen31 October 20261-0
NEC Nijmegen – Heerenveen22 March 20262-2
Heerenveen – NEC Nijmegen21 September 20253-2
Heerenveen – NEC Nijmegen27 April 20251-0
NEC Nijmegen – Heerenveen19 October 20243-0
NEC Nijmegen – Heerenveen10 March 20242-0