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Eredivisie · Matchday 29Sunday 11 April · 16:00 · Spartastadion
Sparta Rotterdam11th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Go Ahead Eagles10th place
SPA 42%X 26%GAE 32%

Prediction

  • If Sparta Rotterdam score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Go Ahead Eagles score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.5
Over 2.564%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Sparta Rotterdam win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.40X26%3.84232%3.10
Double chance
1X68%1.48X258%1.721274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.564%1.57Under 2.536%2.75BTTS yes65%1.53BTTS no35%2.89

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sparta Rotterdam · Columns: Go Ahead Eagles1-1 probability 10.8%

Form

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Head to head

Go Ahead Eagles – Sparta Rotterdam10 October 20263-3
Sparta Rotterdam – Go Ahead Eagles3 May 20262-2
Go Ahead Eagles – Sparta Rotterdam23 August 20250-3
Go Ahead Eagles – Sparta Rotterdam14 February 20251-0
Sparta Rotterdam – Go Ahead Eagles15 September 20241-2
Sparta Rotterdam – Go Ahead Eagles21 January 20240-2