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Eredivisie · Matchday 19Sunday 17 January · 15:45 · Kooi Stadion
Cambuur9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Willem II18th place
CAM 63%X 22%WIL 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Cambuur lead by 143 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Cambuur 2.2 points per game, Willem II 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Cambuur -0.1, Willem II -1.1.
  • If Cambuur score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Willem II score first, they win 39% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals2.7 – 1.4
Over 2.578%
Both teams score72%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
163%1.60X22%4.65216%6.28
Double chance
1X84%1.19X237%2.671278%1.27
Goals
Over 2.578%1.28Under 2.522%4.64BTTS yes72%1.39BTTS no28%3.53

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cambuur · Columns: Willem II2-1 probability 8.3%

Form

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Head to head

Willem II – Cambuur24 October 20261-6
Cambuur – Willem II11 May 20221-1
Willem II – Cambuur10 December 20211-3