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Eredivisie · Matchday 19Saturday 16 January · 20:00 · Fortuna Sittard Stadion
Fortuna Sittard6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
PSV Eindhoven3rd place
FOR 11%X 16%PSV 72%

Prediction

Key factors
  • PSV Eindhoven lead by 245 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: PSV Eindhoven 1.1, Fortuna Sittard -1.3.
  • If Fortuna Sittard score first, they win 31% of the time
  • If PSV Eindhoven score first, they win 87% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals1.1 – 2.8
Over 2.575%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
111%8.81X16%6.10272%1.38
Double chance
1X28%3.60X289%1.131284%1.20
Goals
Over 2.575%1.34Under 2.525%3.98BTTS yes63%1.58BTTS no37%2.71

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fortuna Sittard · Columns: PSV Eindhoven1-2 probability 8.7%

Form

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Head to head

PSV Eindhoven – Fortuna Sittard8 August 20262-2
Fortuna Sittard – PSV Eindhoven17 January 20261-2
PSV Eindhoven – Fortuna Sittard31 October 20255-2
PSV Eindhoven – Fortuna Sittard3 May 20254-1
Fortuna Sittard – PSV Eindhoven22 September 20241-3
Fortuna Sittard – PSV Eindhoven12 May 20241-1