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Eredivisie · Matchday 19Saturday 16 January · 17:45 · Van Donge and De Roo Stadion
Excelsior15th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Feyenoord1st place
EXC 11%X 17%FEY 72%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Feyenoord lead by 257 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Feyenoord 1.6, Excelsior -1.1.
  • Last 5 games: Feyenoord 2.2 points per game, Excelsior 0.2.
  • If Excelsior score first, they win 32% of the time
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 87% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.0 – 2.6
Over 2.570%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
111%8.72X17%5.88272%1.40
Double chance
1X28%3.51X289%1.131283%1.21
Goals
Over 2.570%1.43Under 2.530%3.34BTTS yes59%1.69BTTS no41%2.44

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Excelsior · Columns: Feyenoord0-2 probability 9.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Feyenoord – Excelsior15 March 20262-1
Excelsior – Feyenoord16 August 20251-2
Feyenoord – Excelsior19 May 20244-0
Excelsior – Feyenoord25 November 20232-4
Excelsior – Feyenoord7 May 20230-2
Feyenoord – Excelsior13 November 20225-1