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Eredivisie · Matchday 24Sunday 28 February · 16:00 · Kooi Stadion
Cambuur9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
PEC Zwolle14th place
CAM 44%X 27%PEC 29%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Cambuur 2.2 points per game, PEC Zwolle 1.4.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Cambuur -0.1, PEC Zwolle -0.7.
  • If Cambuur score first, they win 69% of the time
  • If PEC Zwolle score first, they win 56% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.5
Over 2.567%
Both teams score68%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Cambuur win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
144%2.26X27%3.74229%3.45
Double chance
1X71%1.41X256%1.791273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.567%1.49Under 2.533%3.03BTTS yes68%1.48BTTS no32%3.08

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Cambuur · Columns: PEC Zwolle1-1 probability 10.0%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

PEC Zwolle – Cambuur11 October 20260-1
Cambuur – PEC Zwolle12 February 20223-4
PEC Zwolle – Cambuur6 November 20211-2