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Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Eredivisie · Matchday 24Sunday 28 February · 16:00 · Koning Willem II Stadion
Willem II18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Groningen8th place
WIL 15%X 19%GRO 65%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Groningen lead by 246 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Groningen 1.4 points per game, Willem II 0.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Groningen -0.2, Willem II -1.1.
  • If Willem II score first, they win 38% of the time
  • If Groningen score first, they win 83% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals1.2 – 2.5
Over 2.570%
Both teams score63%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
115%6.51X19%5.20265%1.53
Double chance
1X35%2.89X285%1.181281%1.24
Goals
Over 2.570%1.42Under 2.530%3.38BTTS yes63%1.58BTTS no37%2.74

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Willem II · Columns: Groningen1-2 probability 9.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Willem II – Groningen15 February 20251-3
Groningen – Willem II30 November 20242-0
Groningen – Willem II26 February 20221-0
Willem II – Groningen18 September 20212-1