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Eredivisie · Matchday 24Sunday 28 February · 16:00 · Cars Jeans Stadion
ADO Den Haag17th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Twente4th place
ADO 10%X 17%TWE 73%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Twente lead by 262 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Twente 1.6, ADO Den Haag -0.7.
  • Last 5 games: Twente 2.0 points per game, ADO Den Haag 1.0.
  • If ADO Den Haag score first, they win 32% of the time
  • If Twente score first, they win 89% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals0.8 – 2.4
Over 2.562%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
110%9.70X17%5.99273%1.37
Double chance
1X27%3.70X290%1.111283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.562%1.60Under 2.538%2.66BTTS yes51%1.98BTTS no49%2.03

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
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5
Rows: ADO Den Haag · Columns: Twente0-2 probability 11.7%

Form

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Head to head

Twente – ADO Den Haag12 September 20262-0