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Primeira Liga · Matchday 30Sunday 18 April · 16:00 · Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Casa Pia17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Rio Ave16th place
CPA 40%X 29%RAV 31%

Prediction

  • If Casa Pia score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Rio Ave score first, they win 63% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Casa Pia win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.49X29%3.44231%3.25
Double chance
1X69%1.44X260%1.671271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.26Under 2.556%1.79BTTS yes50%1.98BTTS no50%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Casa Pia · Columns: Rio Ave1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →
Rio AveDLWLL

Head to head

Casa Pia – Rio Ave16 May 20261-1
Rio Ave – Casa Pia4 January 20263-1
Casa Pia – Rio Ave29 March 20252-1
Rio Ave – Casa Pia2 November 20242-2
Rio Ave – Casa Pia11 February 20241-0
Casa Pia – Rio Ave2 September 20231-1