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Primeira Liga · Matchday 30Sunday 18 April · 16:00 · Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Gil Vicente9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Estrela Amadora12th place
GIL 53%X 27%EAM 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Gil Vicente lead by 111 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Gil Vicente 1.6 points per game, Estrela Amadora 0.2.
  • If Gil Vicente score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Estrela Amadora score first, they win 52% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.543%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.88X27%3.69220%5.08
Double chance
1X80%1.25X247%2.141273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.543%2.31Under 2.557%1.76BTTS yes46%2.17BTTS no54%1.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Gil Vicente · Columns: Estrela Amadora1-0 probability 13.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Estrela Amadora – Gil Vicente8 March 20262-2
Gil Vicente – Estrela Amadora4 October 20252-0
Estrela Amadora – Gil Vicente7 March 20251-1
Gil Vicente – Estrela Amadora5 October 20243-0
Estrela Amadora – Gil Vicente18 May 20241-0
Gil Vicente – Estrela Amadora14 January 20241-1