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La Liga · Matchday 24Sunday 14 February · 16:00 · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Celta Vigo9th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Rayo Vallecano11th place
CEL 42%X 29%RAY 30%

Prediction

  • If Celta Vigo score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Rayo Vallecano score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.543%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Celta Vigo win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.41X29%3.45230%3.39
Double chance
1X70%1.42X259%1.711271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.543%2.32Under 2.557%1.76BTTS yes49%2.03BTTS no51%1.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Celta Vigo · Columns: Rayo Vallecano1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano – Celta Vigo31 October 20263-0
Celta Vigo – Rayo Vallecano18 January 20263-0
Rayo Vallecano – Celta Vigo21 September 20251-1
Celta Vigo – Rayo Vallecano18 May 20251-2
Rayo Vallecano – Celta Vigo10 January 20252-1
Celta Vigo – Rayo Vallecano31 March 20240-0