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La Liga · Matchday 24Sunday 14 February · 16:00 · Estadio de Mestalla
Valencia19th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Alavés11th place
VAL 39%X 30%ALA 31%

Prediction

  • If Valencia score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Alavés score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.542%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Valencia win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.54X30%3.36231%3.23
Double chance
1X69%1.45X261%1.651270%1.42
Goals
Over 2.542%2.37Under 2.558%1.73BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Valencia · Columns: Alavés1-1 probability 14.0%

Form

Compare →
AlavésDLLDL

Head to head

Alavés – Valencia15 September 20260-1
Valencia – Alavés8 March 20263-2
Alavés – Valencia20 October 20250-0
Alavés – Valencia14 May 20251-0
Valencia – Alavés22 December 20242-2
Valencia – Alavés5 May 20240-1